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Old 01-11-2017, 01:56 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Thumbs up Mainland Census for January 2017

Well here we are again - a brand new flashy Mainland Census for January 2017 (2nd Posting - first went awol)

This Census was run between 2nd to 7th January and as before involved surveybot visits to every Mainland Region and a full scan of all parcels in each region. As with previous census, this includes the 5 Linden Home Continents and the old Teen grid mainland as well as traditional mainland. There were 23 regions which were closed to public access but these were all hand surveyed from bordering regions, this figure is up on Jan 2016 where 18 regions were hand surveyed.

For reference the last published Census was carried out in Jan 2016 and was reported here : Mainland Census for January 2016

Overview

In January 2017 Mainland consists of 6806 regions, (there are about another 360 Linden Owned regions which are not included in the Census - mainly Help Islands, Linden Realms etc). This is 62 regions up on Jan 2016 . Other than a handful of water regions the 62 new regions were mainly the new Horizon regions attached to Zindra (the Adult mainland). The following chart shows how the number of Mainland regions has changed over the past 14 published Census.



Whilst regions are up in number, the overall number of parcels is 1.5% down since Jan 2017 and the total number of Owners fell by 5.9% , Individual Owners were down by 6.0% and the total number of land holding groups fell by 5.5% from Jan 2016.
Linden Lab now owns even more of Mainland and current abandoned land figures are yet again the highest seen with 20.7% to 21.4% of mainland abandoned. In Jan 2016 the figure was 18.2% to 18.8%.

Overall the total number of owners has fallen and land is still being abandoned at faster rates than new land is being purchased. both of these rates are increasing. The biggest fall in owners is amongst Linden Home owners. Linden Lab share of Mainland is still increasing and exceeds half of all mainland (57%, Jan 2016 was 54%).

Overview of Parcels

The total number of individual parcels in Jan 2017 is 125196 down from 127162 in Jan 2016 and these parcels are owned by 56946 unique owners, down by 3598 since Jan 2016 . The average parcel has a Mean area of 3,562Sqm (Median 512Sqm) and is 36.1% full , this represents a small increase in size since the last published census . 31187 of these parcels are directly owned by Linden Lab . The Mean size of the remaining parcels was 2,054.8sqm (Median=512Sqm) and are 45.6% full. 31% of parcels are group owned, 38% for Non-Linden parcels, this again is more or less unchanged on both figures since the last published census.



Overview of Owners

Mainland is now owned by 56946 unique owners, 47007 individual accounts and 9939 groups, a decrease of 3019 individuals and a loss of 579 groups since Jan 2016 , The decline since Jan 2014 in individual owners is about 6% . Each Non-Linden owner has holdings with a mean area of 3392.8Sqm - up by 34qm on Jan 2016 (Median is unchanged at 512Sqm) and on average held in 1.65 different parcels, a 1% increase from Jan 2016 figure of 1.64.

Total ownership is down by 5.9% on Jan 2016 which was also an overall decline (1.5%) on the previous June 2014 figures. We are seeing a significant increase in the rate of decline of owners in the past 12 months than in the previous 18.



The top 2 owners by area are still Linden Accounts , with the Linden Blakes Sea in 5th place. The top 2 Non-Linden owners have both increased their holdings. Governor Linden holdings have increased from 47.1% (Jan 2016) to 49.9% today, LDPW holdings remained at 6.0% .In Previous Census I reported owners with over 750,000Sqm which covered 11 Non-Linden accounts (all group held) . Since Jan 2016 the number of non-Linden accounts with at least this much land has increased to 13.

Here are the holdings of all owners with more that 1,000,000Sqm
  • Governor Linden owns 222,091,856Sqm (49.8% of total) in 28520 parcels
  • Linden Department of Works holds 26,930,160Sqm (6.0%) in 2459 parcels
  • Largest Non-Linden group holds 5,913,072Sqm (1.3%) in 91 parcels
  • Second Largest Non-Linden group holds 5,353,488Sqm (1.2%) in 90 parcels
  • Blake Sea group holds 3,167,280Sqm (0.7%) in 142 parcels
  • Third Largest Non-Linden group holds 2,647,360Sqm (0.6%) in 55 parcels
  • Fourth Largest Non-Linden group holds 1,853,664Sqm (0.4%) in 305 parcels
  • Fifth Largest Non-Linden group holds 1,544,000Sqm (0.4%) in 66 parcels
  • Sixth Largest Non-Linden group holds 1,536,224Sqm (0.3%) in 312 parcels
  • Seventh Largest Non-Linden group holds 1,272,160Sqm (0.3%) in 328 parcels
  • Eighth Largest Non-Linden group holds 1,094,896Sqm (0.3%) in 389 parcels

A further 663,776Sqm is known to be Linden owned and held by 4 accounts such as the Maintenance group or by Guy Linden or Dee Linden on behalf of Concierge in 66 parcels, these holdings are about 96% the size they were in Jan 2016

Total significant Linden holdings come to 252,853,072Sqm 56.6% of the total, up since Jan 2016 by 13,987,824Sqm and a share increase of 2.6% . Overall Linden Holdings increased by 5.9% by area This represents an increase of 213.7 full regions,
Non Linden holdings come to 193,184,944Sqm down by 9,944,096Sqm , representing a 4.9% drop since Jan 2014 - This also equates to 151.8 full regions worth

The top 22 Non-Linden owners own 15.8% of all Non-Linden Mainland - a higher share than Jan 2016 (13.8%). The Top 6 own 9.8% (8.4%).

Using same tier assumptions as in previous Census Total Monthly Mainland Tier comes to US$714,004 , down on the Jan 2016 by US$50,753 or 5.4%.
Mean Tier is US$12.54, Median is still US$0 and 42,326 landowners (74%) pay no tier above their premium subscription, 2610 down on June 2013. In general its less residents , the majority (74%) of owners directly owning 512sqm or less. Generally owners are owning less but the top land holders are increasing their land in real terms .

Known protected land is currently 157,001,968Sqm (62.2% of all Linden owned), down since last census from 65.1%, this includes empty Linden Home plots. Known Abandoned land is now 92,142,048Sqm (36.5%) up by 14.6% since Jan 2016 ,and increase of 178.8 Regions worth . Blank and other unknown descriptions comes to 3,225,328Sqm (1.3%) up on from June 2013 (by 23.0%)

So abandoned land is somewhere between 92,142,048Sqm and 95,367,376Sqm or 20.7% to 21.4% of all Mainland - an equivalent of 1405 to 1455 full regions.




7 years ago when I ran the very first Mainland Census in November 2009 abandoned land was 3.5% to 5.0% (Mainland Census completed ). The change in abandoned land since Dec 2010 is as follows:


Overview of Regions


The current 6806 Mainland Regions have a mean of 11.1 unique owners per region holding land in them (down 0.7 owners from Jan 2016) , the Median is 7 owners ( unchanged from last census) . The mean number of parcels per region is 18.4 and 90.2% have at least one Linden owned Parcel. 1414 (20.8%) are completely owned by Linden Lab accounts, up by 1 regions since last census.
The busiest regions contains 56 different owners (there are 3 of these, all Linden Home Regions). The average region uses 29.2% of it's Prim Allowance (in Jan 2016 it was 42.8% but the new Prim limits have since taken effect) .


Overview of Linden Homes


The total number of Linden Home regions remained unchanged since the last census at 1163 (17.1% of Mainland) . In total there are currently 42733 Linden Home Plots which is also unchanged since last census. Of these 36914 are occupied,(86.4%) This is a fall of 3793 owners since Jan 2016 (a drop of 9.3%). The fall in Linden Home Ownership is significantly greater than overall ownership.

Overview of Land for Sale

Currently 9,044,528Sqm is marked for sale (including Auction). This represents 2.0% of Mainland and is a slight decrease on Jan 2016.
Among Non-Linden owned land 8,976,144Sqm is for sale .



Please feel free to use any of these charts or figures in your own commentary

...That's it for now


The TL DR version

Mainland is still there but with less owners and more abandoned land, This year there has been a significant drop in ownership, mainly by a big decline in Linden Home ownership rather than other Mainland, though Abandoned land still increase to over 1/5th of Mainland
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Old 01-11-2017, 02:23 AM   #2 (permalink)
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This is really enlightening, thank you Tyche!
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Old 01-11-2017, 03:51 AM   #3 (permalink)
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