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Old 08-27-2009, 05:10 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Exclamation Hey Cindy! Better start saving for that central air and a pool!

Looks like Kansas will be the most affected by climate change related to global warming. I'm so glad I live in Florida now.

Small Midwestern States To Be Hit Hardest By Climate Change: Report

We have a spare room, if you want to escape from the triple digit temperatures.
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Old 08-27-2009, 05:24 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Run for the coasts while there's still time!

(Not TOO close to the coasts, though - rising sea levels and all that )
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Old 08-27-2009, 05:27 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Run for the coasts while there's still time!

(Not TOO close to the coasts, though - rising sea levels and all that )
Meh, I'm in north central Florida, so I'm good. Who gives a shit about everyone else?

OMG, did I say that outloud? I'm gonna be recruited by the Rethugs with that attitude.

HOLY SHIT, I'M THE GREAT WHITE HOPE!!!!!!!!!!
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Old 08-27-2009, 05:29 PM   #4 (permalink)
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I doubt I'll still be around in 2100. That's when the article predicted the 10 degree rise.

This has been a strange year. Temperatures are below normal and rainfall is above normal for summer. I think we're still the most humid of all the midwestern states, mainly because we're caught between the Canadian jet stream and the Gulf fronts (thus the number of tornadoes we get).

I'm saving up, though. Never fear. They're talking about a Federal credit for energy efficient cooling systems, and as soon as they start the program I'll be lining up a new heat pump. You betcha
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Old 08-27-2009, 05:30 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Yeh, you laugh now!

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Old 08-27-2009, 05:31 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Governments won't take it seriously until it's way too late (if it's not already). There's far too much profit destroying the planet.
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Old 08-27-2009, 05:32 PM   #7 (permalink)
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I doubt I'll still be around in 2100. That's when the article predicted the 10 degree rise.


You never know, with the fantastic health care the Rethugs are promising to deliver in lieu of a government run system, you might still be here, with all your vital organs replaced by artificial ones. Sort of like Dick Cheney.
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Old 08-27-2009, 05:36 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Governments won't take it seriously until it's way too late (if it's not already). There's far too much profit destroying the planet.
Don't be so sure. There's also profit in new technology. Think "forced obsolescence", something the automakers have been living off of for decades.

Whether the climate change is manmade or not (or to what percent), I am very hopeful that our footprint will be drastically reduced in the next couple of decades. That's when scientists think we should have fusion power ready to use - a virtually unlimited, remarkably clean source of energy that could essentially solve our major power grid requirements.
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Old 08-27-2009, 05:52 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Don't be so sure. There's also profit in new technology. Think "forced obsolescence", something the automakers have been living off of for decades.

Whether the climate change is manmade or not (or to what percent), I am very hopeful that our footprint will be drastically reduced in the next couple of decades. That's when scientists think we should have fusion power ready to use - a virtually unlimited, remarkably clean source of energy that could essentially solve our major power grid requirements.
I think you're right about reducing our footprint and western countries moving to alternate power but it still leaves countries like Australia shipping coal to anyone that will buy it. I also can't see a large proportion of the world being allowed to have fusion reactors even when they are available.

What I see happening at the moment though is a real struggle just to get long term targets in place to reduce carbon emissions when we actually need a negative footprint rather than just slowing things down.
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Old 08-27-2009, 06:54 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Small Midwestern states deserve it almost as much as Southern states, since those two places are where most of the climate change deniers live.
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Old 08-27-2009, 07:00 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Yeh, you laugh now!

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That's Cristiano's neck of the woods. I'll be the one with the waterfront property in 50 years.
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Old 08-27-2009, 07:26 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Worry more about the wheat crop.
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Old 08-27-2009, 07:29 PM   #13 (permalink)
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Yeh, you laugh now!

The cruise lines will love this. New cruise ports at the inland airports and more ocean to sail on.
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Old 08-27-2009, 08:46 PM   #14 (permalink)
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Worry more about the wheat crop.
Or the marine ecosystem ..

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The question for policy-makers and society is “Will the ocean continue to take up anthropogenic CO2?” Our best evidence is that it will—but less effectively because of interactions between the ocean and the evolving climate.

Several factors come into play. Global warming will inevitably cause seawater temperatures to rise. Warmer water holds less dissolved gas than colder water, so the ocean will not be able to store as much anthropogenic CO2.

A warmer climate will also melt ice and increase rainfall near the poles, adding fresh water to the ocean. Fresh water is more buoyant than saltier water and “floats” on top of it, stratifying the ocean and slowing the mixing and circulation that transports anthropogenic CO2 away from the surface and into reservoirs in the deep ocean. The net effect will be even higher atmospheric CO2 concentrations and a further acceleration of global warming.

Warmer temperatures, weaker circulation, and different stratification of the ocean will have impacts on marine life and ecosystems, which in turn could affect the ocean’s ability to store carbon. How these changes may occur is not clear at this point, however, and may vary from region to region.

A more acidic ocean
The increasing amount of carbon in the ocean will cause another problem for marine life: ocean acidification. The 3-percent increase in dissolved carbon in surface water may seem small, but it is enough to significantly alter the chemistry of seawater and threaten whole groups of marine life.

The reason involves some basic chemistry. When CO2 gas dissolves in seawater, it combines with water molecules (H2O) to form carbonic acid (H2CO3). The acid releases hydrogen ions into the water. The more hydrogen ions in a solution, the more acidic it becomes. Hydrogen ions in ocean surface waters are now 25 percent higher than in the pre-industrial era, with an additional 75-percent increase projected by 2100.

A carbon-containing mineral, calcium carbonate (CaCO3), is a vital component in the ocean, used by many marine creatures to build protective shells and hard structures. Coral reefs, for example, are the accumulation of calcium carbonate skeletons secreted by small coral polyps.

Calcium carbonate shells are also used by several groups of planktonic organisms, microscopic floating plants and animals that are critical and abundant components of the marine food web. The white chalk cliffs of Dover, for example, are made out of empty shells that sank to the bottom of the sea when these organisms died.

The problem is, acidic conditions are corrosive to already formed calcium carbonate, and they also make it harder for organisms to build such hard parts in the first place.

Consequences for marine life
Will corals and shell-forming plankton be able to adapt to a high-CO2 world? We do not know for certain, but preliminary evidence from laboratory and field experiments is not encouraging.

Higher acidity has a negative impact on almost every species examined. In some experiments, you can actually watch the shells of living organisms dissolve away with time.

Especially vulnerable are small marine snails called pteropods and deep-water corals that live in high latitudes, where colder waters have already become more acidic. These species play critical roles in their ecosystems—as food or habitat for other creatures—so the impact of ocean acidification may soon extend to other marine life, including fish and marine mammals.

If you mention “climate change” to people, it often conjures up images of heat waves, melting glaciers, hurricanes, droughts, and monsoon rains—certainly not changes in the ocean, its chemistry, and tiny plankton inhabitants. But we know that future climate change will largely depend on the chemical composition of the atmosphere and the sea—and how vulnerable they are to human perturbation. Understanding how carbon cycles through the Earth system is key to unraveling vital questions about our climate.

Some policy-makers and entrepreneurs have even proposed injecting carbon dioxide into the deep ocean to sequester it from the atmosphere. Ocean carbon-monitoring projects such as the work on the NOAA ship Ronald H. Brown contribute vital data to learn about the ocean’s changing chemistry. Other methods, including experiments that use numerical modeling to form predictions and studies on how ocean acidification affects ocean life, must inform our decisions on how tightly we may want to regulate carbon emissions.
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Old 08-27-2009, 08:49 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Thanks, Colette, now I'm depressed.
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Old 08-27-2009, 09:00 PM   #16 (permalink)
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Oh I figured the ocean was a lost cause. I think we passed the tipping point already.

For all of our history, we as a species have had an upstream attitude, i.e. so long as we're upstream we don't care that our shit flows downstream. The ocean is the ultimate downstream.

I remember back in the 80s having a discussion about pollution and the ocean with my step-father (a right-wing fundie btw) and his assertion that the ocean was vast and nothing we could do would really impact it. This from a college-educated adult.

It's not just the developed world. I recall standing on the Old City Wall in Tangiers during a rainstorm watching a river of garbage being washed out to sea.

I'm glad I won't be here. I'm grateful I had the chance to dive in the Belezian reefs while they were still there.
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Old 08-27-2009, 09:08 PM   #17 (permalink)
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What a 250-million-year-old extinction event can tell us about the Earth today

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n 1991, scientists reported that the largest known volcanic event in the past 600 million years occurred at the same time as the end-Permian extinction. Magma extruded through coal-rich regions of the Earth's crust and blanketed a region the size of the continental United States with basalt to a depth of up to 6 kilometers. The eruptions that formed the Siberian Traps not only threw ash, debris and toxic gases into the atmosphere but also may have heated the coal and released vast quantities of carbon dioxide and methane into the atmosphere.

Late Devonian extinction - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

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From the end of the Middle Devonian, into the Late Devonian, several environmental changes can be detected from the sedimentary record. There is evidence of widespread anoxia in oceanic bottom waters;[6] the rate of carbon burial shot up,[6] and benthic organisms were decimated, especially in the tropics, and especially reef communities.[6] There is good evidence for high-frequency sea level changes around the Frasnian/Famennian boundary, with one sea level rise associated with the onset of anoxic deposits.

New Theory On Largest Known Mass Extinction In Earth's History

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In their current publication the authors explain the similarities between the complex processes of the CO2-cycle in the Permian Age as well as between global warming from that time and at present.
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Old 08-27-2009, 09:14 PM   #18 (permalink)
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Oh I figured the ocean was a lost cause. I think we passed the tipping point already.
ecology.com | Algae; The Most Important Organism?

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It is estimated that between 70% and 80% of the oxygen in the atmosphere is produced by marine plants .
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Old 08-27-2009, 09:35 PM   #19 (permalink)
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I read about this first in "the Darwin awards" of all places.

But basically A high amount of Carbon Dioxide released (Trillions of tons) proceeded the largest mass extinction that has ever occurred.

An unprecedented amount ... in fact only rivaled by the modern era.
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Old 08-27-2009, 09:36 PM   #20 (permalink)
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In other words .. is the entire human race on its way to earning a Darwin Award for stupidly causing its own extinction?
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Old 08-27-2009, 09:44 PM   #21 (permalink)
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In other words .. is the entire human race on its way to earning a Darwin Award for stupidly causing its own extinction?
To do so would require proof that "the human race" as a whole, had a sort of "hive mind" that could, quite miraculously IMO, predict with unerring accuracy the consequences inherent in the actions of what is, in reality, two-to-six billion people doing everything they can to ensure their individual and familial survival.

Darwin Awards celebrate actions of individuals that can quite easily be labeled stupid, such as diving off a three story rooftop into a wading pool in an attempt to impress one's friends, and dying in the attempt.

To ascribe such to the human race as a whole is, IMO, to condemn the actions of billions of individuals who have, for millenia, done the best they can to survive. Seems a bit much, to me, as if I could say that everything I have ever done in my lifetime, or will EVER do, must be in accordance with some larger principle that few, if any, individuals can fathom.
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Old 08-27-2009, 09:53 PM   #22 (permalink)
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To do so would require proof that "the human race" as a whole, had a sort of "hive mind" that could, quite miraculously IMO, predict with unerring accuracy the consequences inherent in the actions of what is, in reality, two-to-six billion people doing everything they can to ensure their individual and familial survival.

Darwin Awards celebrate actions of individuals that can quite easily be labeled stupid, such as diving off a three story rooftop into a wading pool in an attempt to impress one's friends, and dying in the attempt.

To ascribe such to the human race as a whole is, IMO, to condemn the actions of billions of individuals who have, for millenia, done the best they can to survive. Seems a bit much, to me, as if I could say that everything I have ever done in my lifetime, or will EVER do, must be in accordance with some larger principle that few, if any, individuals can fathom.
I think the point was more along the lines of .. the World lacking the political will to stop its own extinction even after it recognized the mechanism that would cause it.

Whether or not its really "stupid" is moot in totality- since if it does happen, no one will be around to debate whether a human extinction actually qualifies.
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Old 08-27-2009, 10:11 PM   #23 (permalink)
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I think the point was more along the lines of .. the World lacking the political will to stop its own extinction even after it recognized the mechanism that would cause it.

Whether or not its really "stupid" is moot in totality- since if it does happen, no one will be around to debate whether a human extinction actually qualifies.
Maybe you are giving too much credence to the idea that "The World" recognized the mechanism that would cause it. Even in light of all the seemingly incontrovertible evidence of human activity that "causes" global warming, "climate change" or whatever we call it, to think that "political will" is the answer to the problem is, IMO, a bit short sighted.

"Political will", if I maybe so bold, translates ultimately into enforcement by one segment of society upon another. If one calls for enforcement of such will, one cannot escape knowing that individuals must be forced, by legal sanctions and failing that, by sheer force of arms, to change their behaviors in ways that accord with what the political classes have determined is proper.

To bring it down to a small example - merely burning wood releases greenhouse gasses into the air. While that in itself has not been a major problem in the past, if all 6 billion individuals on the planet were reduced to wood burning tomorrow for heat, light, cooking, etc. - it could still represent a significant effect on the ability of the planet to handle carbon uptake.

So, even given the "political will" to reduce carbon emissions from factories, vehicles, etc, I believe one has to take into account what it can ultimately come down to - that the survival strategies that 6 billion people employ would be subject to an over-arching authority. Whenever I consider that as a possibility, I wonder not only a) what is the certainty of the science that informs the political restrictions?, b) what mechanisms can be put in place to grant authority for those political restrictions?, and c) how, in what practical methods, can those political restrictions be enforced in such a way that does not deny individuals the right and ability to survive, even if those survival strategies on the individual level have deleterious effects on the whole?.

I have no answers, only questions. I merely say that statements condemning the entire human race for befouling their nests - as almost all living creatures do in some circumstances - are short-sighted and lack a broader perspective.

Last edited by Bard Jameson; 08-27-2009 at 11:49 PM. Reason: "effect" - not "affect" :)
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Old 08-27-2009, 10:25 PM   #24 (permalink)
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Maybe you are giving too much credence to the idea that "The World" recognized the mechanism that would cause it. Even in light of all the seemingly incontrovertible evidence of human activity that "causes" global warming, "climate change" or whatever we call it, to think that "political will" is the answer to the problem is, IMO, a bit short sighted.

"Political will", if I maybe so bold, translates ultimately into enforcement by one segment of society upon another. If one calls for enforcement of such will, one cannot escape knowing that individuals must be forced, by legal sanctions and failing that, by sheer force of arms, to change their behaviors in ways that accord with what the political classes have determined is proper.

To bring it down to a small example - merely burning wood releases greenhouse gasses into the air. While that in itself has not been a major problem in the past, if all 6 billion individuals on the planet were reduced to wood burning tomorrow for heat, light, cooking, etc. - it could still represent a significant affect on the ability of the planet to handle carbon uptake.

So, even given the "political will" to reduce carbon emissions from factories, vehicles, etc, I believe one has to take into account what it can ultimately come down to - that the survival strategies that 6 billion people employ would be subject to an over-arching authority. Whenever I consider that as a possibility, I wonder not only a) what is the certainty of the science that informs the political restrictions?, b) what mechanisms can be put in place to grant authority for those political restrictions?, and c) how, in what practical methods, can those political restrictions be enforced in such a way that does not deny individuals the right and ability to survive, even if those survival strategies on the individual level have deleterious effects on the whole?.

I have no answers, only questions. I merely say that statements condemning the entire human race for befouling their nests - as almost all living creatures do in some circumstances - are short-sighted and lack a broader perspective.
Um .. I think you are spending too much time worrying about whether we would deserve a Darwin award.

That was a COMPLETELY secondary point. As I mentioned it is where I first heard of the problem of the Oceans becoming an Acid Bath. That led to further reading. Some of the theories I linked above.

Whatever the ramifications of why it happened are really, seriously, going to be Moot if it were to happen.

---

-------------
--------------
Again as I mentioned that was the idea behind the original article, not my idea, I am not a participant in the Darwin Awards, just a reader.
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Old 08-28-2009, 12:43 AM   #25 (permalink)
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To give one example of a mindset, my step-father says everything will be fine because of the Divine Plan.

No wonder we're fucked.
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