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Old 01-15-2017, 12:32 PM   #2414 (permalink)
Tyche Shepherd
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January 2017 Private Estate Survey

Its been a while since the last Private Estate survey which was in May last year
These results are based on a sample of 5000 randomly selected private estate regions designed to estimate Full/Homestead/Openspace penetration.

Summary: Overall distribution of Region types is only a little changed from last survey. Tier has dropped to at just under US$3M for the month. Additional monthly revenue from 30K Prim Full is ~US$18K.

The key results are as follows:

Full Regions : 2224
Homestead Regions: 1759
Openspace: 25
Closed to Public :992

Of the 4008 accessible regions , 55.5% are Full Regions, 43.9% are Homesteads and 0.6% are Openspaces. The Margins of Error are +/-1.34% , +/- 1.34% and +/-0.21% respectively for the three figures figure at the 95% confidence level. The percent of Full Regions is up 0.5% in share and Homesteads are down 0.6% in share since March with Openspaces up 0.1% .All non-significant changes

During this period Private estates had a net loss of 661 Regions to a total of 16769 representing an overall decline of 3.9% since May 2016 . The proportion closed to public access was up from 18.6% to 19.8%.

2 of the Full Regions were Linden Developed Regions (i.e. sold new with content) included in the sample this time, but no Developed Homestead was sampled. Again as with all previous surveys this is too small penetration to estimate total number.

21 of the sampled full regions were Skill Gaming designated ones (0.5% of Private Estate Regions).

149 of those sampled have been upgraded to the upper 30,000 prim region capacity

Taking these figures a good estimate of private estate tier due each month is now US$2,970,000 +/- US$44,000 . (Calculated using known grandfathering rates but excludes any academic reductions and is rounded to the closest US$1000), down on May 2016's estimate of US$3,162,000 (-3.4%) The % fall is less than the fall in regions over teh same period implying any loss is more amongst Homestead rather than Full regions.

The top 20 landowners currently control 48.8% (+/- 1.3%) of private estate regions, This is up (1%) from may and using list prices their holdings account for 43.9% of total private estate tier

The figures for the top 10 landowners are 35.2% (+/- 1.2%) of regions and 30.2% of tier (the larger estates tend to have a bigger proportion of homesteads than smaller estates).

The Top 10 Full Region/Homestead/Openspace proportions are 37.9%/62.0%/0.1% and 42.3%/57.6%/0.1% for the top 20

The Top 20 Estates by number of regions held are as follows:
  • Richmond Land Management 6.2%
  • Azure Islands (ACS) 4.9%
  • Dreamseeker Estates 4.9%
  • Zoha Islands 4.2%
  • Surreal Chung (ACS) 3.1%
  • Weezles Real Estate (WRE) 3.0%
  • Victoria Chung (ACS) 2.9%
  • Miriam Chung (ACS) 2.5%
  • Lorena Chung (ACS) 1.8%
  • Fruit Islands Estate 1.7%
  • Lombardi Holdings 1.6%
  • Jewels Island 1.6%
  • Jessica Chung (ACS) 1.5%
  • Luxory Estates 1.4%
  • Bell Estates 1.4%
  • AW Estate 1.3% tied for 16th place with ...
  • AMEstate 1.3%
  • Lala Rentals 1.3%
  • Blanxi Estates 1.1%
  • Kendallwood Virtual Estates 1.0%

Total known ACS holdings come to 16.8%. (17.2% in May 2016)

The Margins of error for these Estate shares range from +/-0.7% for the largest down to +/- 0.3% for the smallest so some of the ranking especially between 11th and 20th place may be slightly off. These rankings are purely on number of regions owned and are not based on FRE numbers .

The regions were running on the following distribution of server class
  • Class 701 46.16%
  • Class 801 53.82%
  • Class 730 0.03%

Survey Details: This survey was based on a random sample of 5000 private estate regions drawn from all 16769 private estates on the grid on 14th January 2017. The actual surveying took place between 14th & 15th January 2017. A further 11 regions were randomly selected to top up the sample, replacing regions which were unavailable (other than closed to public access) at the time of surveying.

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